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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −87 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 66d |  Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,790 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 |
| 66d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | +$36 +0.8% | 2 |
| 66d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,514 | +$36 +0.8% | 2 |
| 66d | Navigator77 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 66d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,193 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 66d | VASIL | ↑ 65,000 | SellYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,174 | −$148 −13% | — |
| 66d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $2,423 | +$362 +15% | 3 |
| 67d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,273 | +$27 +2.1% | 2 |
| 67d |  justdance | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $3,140 | −$3,140 −100% | 3 |
wowohaha500 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 65,000 means the market gives it about 100%.