Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −78 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 64d |  meowmers | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,516 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 64d | onlyhit | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,508 | +$39 +1.5% | 2 |
| 64d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 75,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $5,108 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Lkens | ↑ 75,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,500 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,069 | +$130 +12% | 3 |
| 64d |  Tttyh | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,152 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d |  Facaie | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo100¢ → 0¢ | $2,985 | −$2,985 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | Facaie | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 0¢ | $11,163 | −$11,163 −100% | 3 |
| 64d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 0¢ | $4,472 | −$4,472 −100% | 2 |
| 64d | Tttyh | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,269 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Navigator77 | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 64d | Navigator77 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Lkens | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,266 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 64d | Navigator77 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,700 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $3,823 | +$1,207 +32% | 4 |
| 64d | retokloreretpo | ↑ 73,000 | SellYes82¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | −$557 −23% | — |
| 64d | 0x4245…62eb | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,348 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 65d | duneprod1 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $9,870 | +$100 +1.0% | 2 |
| 65d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,239 | +$123 +9.9% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 75,000 means the market gives it about 100%.