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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −31 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −65 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 63d |  EA-SY | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,088 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 63d |  Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 63d |  meowmers2 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,994 | +$67 +1.3% | 2 |
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,629 | +$325 +4.9% | 2 |
| 63d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,893 | +$37 +1.9% | 2 |
| 63d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,802 | +$35 +1.9% | 2 |
| 63d | mathiinfo | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,390 | +$38 +2.8% | 2 |
| 63d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,091 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Tttyh | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,290 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,815 | +$219 +4.5% | 2 |
| 63d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,448 | +$114 +1.8% | 2 |
| 63d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,572 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d | 0B06 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$315 +28% | 4 |
| 63d | Navigator77 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,270 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,591 | +$511 +20% | 3 |
| 63d | 0x4245…62eb | ↓ 69,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,938 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 63d | 0x4245…62eb | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,938 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  walnascar | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 63d |  olegs2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,881 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 63d | Navigator77 | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,370 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,425 | +$75 +3.1% | 2 |
| 63d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $1,218 | +$182 +15% | 3 |
| 63d |  TCBY6688 | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$17 +1.4% | 2 |
| 64d |  LiMoon | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,196 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 64d | keannareeves | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes54¢ → 0¢ | $1,611 | −$1,611 −100% | 4 |
| 64d | duneprod1 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,509 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 64d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,812 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 64d | Lkens | ↑ 78,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,045 | +$17 +1.6% | 2 |
| 64d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,132 | +$29 +2.6% | 2 |
endlesssss3,155 shares
blueberryfafo1,103 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 80,000 means the market gives it about 0%.