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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −51 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 62d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,817 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d | Mizukaze | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d |  Tttyh | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,957 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d |  Facaie | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,955 | +$45 +1.5% | 2 |
| 62d | Tttyh | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,302 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 62d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,029 | +$66 +6.4% | 2 |
| 62d | onlyhit | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$19 +1.0% | 2 |
| 62d | mamai | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,800 | +$376 +9.9% | 3 |
| 62d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,423 | +$137 +3.1% | 2 |
| 62d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,127 | +$93 +1.5% | 2 |
| 62d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | +$53 +2.8% | 2 |
| 63d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,250 | +$750 +33% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 79,000 means the market gives it about 0%.