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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 55d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,090 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 55d | Sharky69992 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $3,101 | +$99 +3.2% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,310 | +$20 +0.6% | 2 |
| 55d | Navigator77 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,070 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 56d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,280 | +$68 +5.3% | 2 |
| 56d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,138 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 29?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 78,000 means the market gives it about 100%.