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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −35 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 81d | Tianhe | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,247 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 81d |  Tttyh | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,015 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 81d | Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,590 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 81d |  walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,876 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 81d | daidaihaofei | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,758 | −$73 −4.2% | — |
| 81d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $2,643 | +$395 +15% | 3 |
| 81d | Navigator772 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,600 | +$40 +0.5% | 2 |
| 81d | farthingmore | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,430 | +$71 +4.9% | 2 |
| 81d | intelideas | ↓ 62,000 | SellNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,934 | −$146 −7.5% | — |
| 81d | Navigator77 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 82d | intelideas | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $1,019 | +$1,061 +104% | 4 |
| 82d |  justdance | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo87¢ → 0¢ | $3,959 | −$3,959 −100% | 3 |
| 82d | Ugly-Armour4 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $9,476 | −$9,476 −100% | 4 |
mdanikali003280 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 3?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.