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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 54d |  Tttyh | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,891 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | Tttyh | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 54d | Mizukaze | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,537 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | Mizukaze | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,549 | +$20 +0.3% | 2 |
| 54d | VASIL | ↓ 77,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,003 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 54d | duneprod1 | ↓ 77,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $17,084 | +$30 +0.2% | 2 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo85¢ → 0¢ | $3,904 | −$3,904 −100% | 3 |
| 54d | Soham892 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,100 | +$43 +2.0% | 2 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↑ 80,000 | BuyYes41¢ → 0¢ | $3,729 | −$3,729 −100% | 6 |
| 54d | kai-xin | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$203 +14% | 3 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,305 | +$85 +3.7% | 2 |
| 54d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 79,000 | BuyYes47¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$3,215 +115% | 5 |
PBot-1043 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 77,000 means the market gives it about 100%.