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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −62 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 80d | JIJIJIJIJIJIJI | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,767 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d |  leleko2k | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,295 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | Navigator77 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,360 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d |  EA-SY | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,281 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d |  gugu-gaga | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,500 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d |  Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,190 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | Mizukaze3 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,208 | +$34 +0.3% | 2 |
| 80d | Doomster | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,104 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d | Mizukaze | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,311 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d |  upont2 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$47 +1.9% | 2 |
| 80d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,082 | +$38 +1.8% | 2 |
| 80d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,022 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 80d | upont3 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,124 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 80d | Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,328 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d |  Facaie5 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,464 | +$60 +0.4% | 2 |
| 80d | Facaie | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | 9527966 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,318 | +$22 +0.5% | 2 |
| 80d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | +$87 +3.5% | 2 |
| 80d | Tttyh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $106,799 | +$107 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | Egozic86 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 80d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d | loveheng | ↑ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,659 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,632 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d |  justdance | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,537 | +$98 +6.4% | 2 |
| 80d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,688 | +$25 +0.9% | 2 |
| 80d | Navigator77 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d | Navigator77 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 80d | Navigator77 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,000 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 80d |  Leisurely | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,066 | +$31 +1.5% | 2 |
| 80d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,459 | +$91 +2.0% | 2 |
| 80d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,104 | +$96 +8.7% | 3 |
bjprolo10 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on August 4?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.