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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 78d | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,183 | −$4 −0.1% | — | |
| 78d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 | |
| 78d | Navigator77 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,910 | +$33 +0.7% | 2 |
| 78d | anon.1980.1235 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,624 | +$211 +1.1% | 2 |
| 78d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,191 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 78d | Doomster | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,509 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 78d | onlyhit | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,041 | +$6 +0.6% | 2 |
| 78d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,919 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 78d | Doomster | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,826 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 78d | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,269 | +$16 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 78d | Dou123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,768 | +$27 +1.6% | 2 |
| 78d | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 78d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $1,360 | +$640 +47% | 4 |
| 78d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,381 | +$806 +24% | 3 | |
| 78d | Navigator77 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$43 +1.4% | 2 |
| 78d | Navigator77 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$16 +0.3% | 2 |
| 79d | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $14,745 | +$255 +1.7% | 2 | |
| 79d | Dou123 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$34 +1.7% | 2 |
| 79d | Embellished-Cruise | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,090 | +$10 +0.9% | 2 |
| 79d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,300 | +$25 +1.9% | 2 |
| 79d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $1,089 | +$481 +44% | 4 |
| 79d | Kirilli | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,964 | +$39 +1.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on August 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 65,000 means the market gives it about 0%.