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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 61,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 60,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 62,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 53,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 114d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,738 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | Mizukaze | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,616 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 114d |  Leisurely | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,225 | +$31 +1.4% | 2 |
| 114d | Humongous-Fly | ↑ 61,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,066 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 114d |  ProudIsraeli | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $6,233 | +$63 +1.0% | 2 |
| 114d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 114d | Humongous-Fly | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$99 +3.3% | 2 |
| 114d | PRESET10k | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,400 | +$29 +2.0% | 2 |
| 114d |  SheepToken | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo32¢ → 0¢ | $1,600 | −$1,600 −100% | 6 |
| 114d |  leleko2k | ↑ 62,000 | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | −$118 −8.9% | — |
| 114d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $2,535 | +$5,454 +215% | 7 |
| 114d | 0B06 | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,933 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d |  walnascar | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,350 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | shehues | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $6,000 | −$6,000 −100% | 3 |
| 114d | kelakesen | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,567 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | kejifuhao | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | ogfdjtrej54 | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,024 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | fgdsbhdfsh436 | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,022 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d | hjmdhjye456 | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,027 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d |  hedgebo | ↓ 56,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | −$18 −1.8% | — |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $4,886 | −$4,886 −100% | 4 |
| 114d | SheepToken | ↑ 61,000 | SellYes40¢ → 100¢ | $2,239 | −$3,358 −150% | — |
| 114d | Xgs | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$37 +1.3% | 2 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 61,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,276 | +$1,276 +100% | 4 |
| 114d | 1881aa | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,013 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $4,112 | +$310 +7.5% | 2 |
| 114d | oegdatam | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,158 | +$48 +1.5% | 2 |
| 114d | Evil-Jump-Consonant | ↑ 60,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $13,346 | −$135 −1.0% | — |
| 114d | justdance | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,928 | +$187 +6.4% | 2 |
| 114d | Xgs | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$67 +6.4% | 2 |
| 114d | Xgs | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,925 | +$75 +1.5% | 2 |
| 114d | Xgs | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 0¢ | $5,419 | −$5,419 −100% | 3 |
| 114d | Spice01 | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,548 | +$39 +1.5% | 2 |
| 114d | justdance | ↑ 60,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $3,293 | +$2,588 +79% | 4 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $1,151 | +$219 +19% | 3 |
| 114d | justdance5 fills | ↑ 60,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 0¢ | $15,581 | −$15,581 −100% | 4 |
| 114d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,095 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 115d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $6,875 | −$6,875 −100% | 2 |
| 115d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $3,299 | +$121 +3.7% | 2 |
| 115d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,887 | +$25 +1.3% | 2 |
| 115d | CoinTrick | ↓ 59,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,174 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 61,000 means the market gives it about 100%.