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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 105d | Mizukaze | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,270 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 105d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,463 | +$115 +1.8% | 2 |
| 105d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,518 | +$32 +0.7% | 2 |
| 105d | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,015 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 105d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,999 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 105d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,410 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 105d | suyizi | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,171 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 105d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,394 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 105d | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,418 | −$132 −3.0% | — |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 10?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.