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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104d | Mizukaze | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,527 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 104d | Doomster | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,497 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 104d | Doomster | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,654 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d |  Facaie | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,019 | +$242 +4.8% | 2 |
| 104d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,673 | +$77 +1.6% | 2 |
| 104d | Candela | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,974 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 104d | loveheng | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,555 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d |  Tttyh | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,761 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,006 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 104d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $6,622 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 104d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $7,983 | +$81 +1.0% | 2 |
| 104d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $5,940 | +$688 +12% | 3 |
| 104d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $9,769 | +$231 +2.4% | 2 |
| 104d | Aht | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 104d | Lkens | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$40 +1.0% | 2 |
| 104d |  walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 105d | 0x1e20…39da | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$527 +35% | 4 |
| 105d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,864 | +$78 +4.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.