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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 102d | AnonymousPerson | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,476 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 102d | 99cbets | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 102d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,190 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 102d | SkyLove72 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,375 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | shuangming1219 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,395 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | 99cbets | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,950 | +$50 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | xuejiao | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,947 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | AnonymousPerson5 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,964 | +$36 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,373 | +$41 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Tttyh | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,780 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 102d | esrertfgh | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,006 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,967 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Timely-Expansionism | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,300 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,049 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | loveheng | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,900 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | suyizi | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,405 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,502 | +$62 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d | qianyi2026 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,985 | +$16 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,070 | +$40 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d | Tianhe | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,096 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d |  Facaie | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,988 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d |  upont | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d | onlyhit | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,658 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d |  Leisurely | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,872 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 102d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,351 | +$184 +2.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $106,815 | +$208 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d |  walnascar | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,287 | +$8 +0.6% | 2 |
| 102d | Assured-Familiarity | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,585 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 102d | Facaie | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,541 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 103d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes89¢ → 100¢ | $1,244 | +$159 +13% | 3 |
| 103d |  justdance | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $3,185 | +$1,365 +43% | 4 |
| 103d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,870 | +$177 +3.6% | 2 |
mango0x902 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 60,000 means the market gives it about 0%.