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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 101d | Rin2x | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,747 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 101d | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,371 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 101d | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 101d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,527 | +$313 +4.8% | 2 |
| 101d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,313 | +$277 +5.2% | 2 |
| 101d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $3,382 | +$3,163 +94% | 4 |
| 101d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04526 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo58¢ → 0¢ | $10,103 | −$10,103 −100% | 4 |
| 101d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $1,400 | −$1,400 −100% | 5 |
| 101d | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,547 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 101d | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,435 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 101d | strengthinnumbers | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,641 | +$1,641 +100% | — |
| 101d | 0xvanilla | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,020 | +$61 +5.9% | 2 |
| 101d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$9 +0.9% | 2 |
| 101d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,491 | +$59 +1.3% | 2 |
| 101d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,826 | +$74 +4.1% | 2 |
| 102d | Ggogt | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo75¢ → 0¢ | $2,342 | −$2,342 −100% | 4 |
| 102d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 0¢ | $3,491 | −$3,491 −100% | 4 | |
| 102d | Sharky69993 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 0¢ | $4,560 | −$4,560 −100% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 65,000 means the market gives it about 100%.