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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −66 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 99d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,425 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Timely-Expansionism | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Agonizing-Beach-ScratchNew account | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,920 | +$80 +0.4% | 2 |
| 99d | Mizukaze | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,758 | +$19 +0.5% | 2 |
| 99d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,276 | +$35 +0.3% | 2 |
| 99d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,511 | +$140 +3.1% | 2 |
| 99d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,660 | +$95 +2.0% | 2 |
| 99d | onlyhit | ↑ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,725 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 99d |  Leisurely | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,117 | +$12 +1.1% | 2 |
| 99d | Leisurely | ↑ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,112 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 99d | ppobb1123 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d |  Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,116 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 99d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 69,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,004 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 99d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,461 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 99d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,022 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 99d | Rin2x | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,488 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 99d | Leisurely | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,220 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,082 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 |
| 100d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$42 +3.1% | 2 |
| 100d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo57¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$1,132 +75% | 4 |
| 100d | dahai114 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $1,323 | +$134 +10% | 3 |
| 100d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,933 | +$60 +2.0% | 2 |
bjprolo5 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 16?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.