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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 98d | lingke | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | magcidwa | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 98d | Overcooked-Spinach | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | onlyhit | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,655 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 98d | 0xzig | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,954 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 98d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,497 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 98d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 98d | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,165 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 98d | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,468 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 | |
| 98d | shinianzhihou | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,933 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | kgezhiwang | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,012 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | fushishanxia | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 98d | shimianmaifu1 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,003 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 98d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,689 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 98d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,095 | +$95 +8.7% | 3 |
| 98d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,054 | +$126 +12% | 3 | |
| 98d | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,659 | −$228 −14% | — | |
| 98d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,044 | +$109 +2.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Rin2x | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,252 | +$16 +0.7% | 2 | |
| 99d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$584 +39% | 4 |
| 99d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,965 | +$240 +8.1% | 3 |
| 99d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,318 | +$42 +1.8% | 2 |
| 99d | Candela | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,492 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 99d | Glennraven | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,692 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 17?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.