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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −25 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 97d | Assured-Familiarity | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,710 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 97d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$857 +57% | 5 |
| 97d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 65,000 | SellYes37¢ → 0¢ | $1,193 | +$1,193 +100% | — |
| 97d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,920 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 97d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo65¢ → 100¢ | $3,257 | +$1,749 +54% | 4 |
| 97d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $1,755 | −$1,755 −100% | 4 |
| 97d |  Leisurely | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,226 | +$31 +2.5% | 2 |
| 97d |  walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,581 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
bjprolo5 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.