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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 96d |  Leisurely | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,296 | +$7 +0.5% | 2 |
| 96d |  Facaie | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 96d |  gugu-gaga | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,080 | +$27 +0.4% | 2 |
| 96d | Mizukaze | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,449 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 96d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$31 +1.5% | 2 |
| 96d | Facaie2 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,985 | +$15 +0.3% | 2 |
| 96d | onlyhit | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,784 | +$13 +0.7% | 2 |
| 96d |  justdance | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $3,913 | +$637 +16% | 3 |
| 96d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,420 | +$24 +0.7% | 2 |
| 96d | justdance | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes29¢ → 100¢ | $1,320 | +$3,231 +245% | 5 |
| 97d | Leisurely | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,255 | +$53 +4.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 19?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 65,000 means the market gives it about 100%.