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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −40 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113d | Mizukaze | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,152 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | Mizukaze | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,347 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | Rin2x | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,007 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 113d | farthingmore | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 113d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,110 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 114d |  LiMoon | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,123 | +$17 +1.5% | 2 |
| 114d | Delayed-Blend | ↑ 62,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,595 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 114d | Cactus-0012 fills | ↑ 62,000 | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $10,000 | +$594 +5.9% | 2 |
| 114d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,212 | +$159 +2.6% | 2 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 62,000 | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,203 | +$1,304 +108% | 4 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,280 | +$720 +32% | 4 |
| 114d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,361 | +$39 +2.9% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 2?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.