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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −18 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 95d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$18 +0.9% | 2 |
| 95d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,590 | +$60 +0.9% | 2 |
| 95d |  Facaie | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,430 | +$90 +2.0% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $3,289 | −$858 −26% | — |
| 95d | onlyhit | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,828 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 95d |  Leisurely | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,341 | +$9 +0.6% | 2 |
| 95d | Overcooked-Spinach | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d |  walnascar | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,489 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,943 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x2d6a…8b5a2 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 100¢ | $2,600 | +$1,546 +59% | 4 |
| 95d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,754 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 95d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,783 | +$279 +5.8% | 2 |
| 95d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $3,059 | +$240 +7.9% | 2 |
| 95d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 67,000 | SellNo91¢ → 100¢ | $2,356 | −$222 −9.4% | — |
| 95d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes53¢ → 0¢ | $1,590 | −$1,590 −100% | 4 |
| 95d | justdance | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $3,680 | +$920 +25% | 3 |
| 95d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes57¢ → 100¢ | $1,700 | +$1,282 +75% | 4 |
Occult618 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 20?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.