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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 94d |  Tttyh | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 94d | katie26 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $38,958 | +$196 +0.5% | 2 |
| 94d | Tttyh | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $29,850 | +$150 +0.5% | 2 |
| 94d | Doomster | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,885 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 94d | lowguard | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,832 | +$35 +0.9% | 2 |
| 94d | Embellished-Cruise | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,948 | +$52 +1.3% | 2 |
| 94d | Funboyboy | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $21,989 | +$111 +0.5% | 2 |
| 94d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $14,850 | +$150 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d | Mizukaze | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,949 | +$80 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d |  Facaie | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,970 | +$30 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d |  leleko2k | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,069 | +$31 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d | onlyhit | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,006 | +$10 +1.0% | 2 |
| 94d | onlyhit | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,007 | −$2 −0.2% | — |
| 94d | Tttyh | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 94d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$36 +0.7% | 2 |
| 94d | 0x2d6a…8b5a2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | SellYes46¢ → 0¢ | $4,391 | +$4,391 +100% | — |
| 94d | Tttyh | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,147 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 94d | Tttyh | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $20,778 | +$189 +0.9% | 2 |
| 94d | Dou123 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,311 | +$39 +0.9% | 2 |
| 94d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,986 | +$110 +1.2% | 2 |
| 94d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,794 | +$121 +1.4% | 2 |
| 94d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,774 | +$25 +0.9% | 2 |
| 94d |  walnascar | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,497 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 94d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 67,000 | SellNo72¢ → 100¢ | $3,242 | −$1,261 −39% | — |
| 94d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 0¢ | $2,945 | −$2,945 −100% | 5 |
| 94d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 100¢ | $3,715 | +$2,285 +62% | 4 |
| 94d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 100¢ | $3,116 | +$3,309 +106% | 4 |
| 94d |  tucuxi2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | SellNo42¢ → 100¢ | $2,730 | −$3,844 −141% | — |
| 95d | 0x2d6a…8b5a | ↑ 67,000 | BuyYes46¢ → 0¢ | $1,100 | −$1,100 −100% | 4 |
| 95d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 95d | Lkens | ↑ 66,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,420 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 95d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,053 | +$16 +1.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.