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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 66,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −72 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 93d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,650 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | onlyhit | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,391 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,321 | +$31 +0.3% | 2 |
| 93d | Mizukaze | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,515 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $2,132 | +$168 +7.9% | 3 |
| 93d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,470 | +$183 +1.8% | 2 |
| 93d | magcidwa | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | lingke | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,000 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,643 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $33,000 | +$126 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,976 | +$24 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,937 | +$63 +2.1% | 2 |
| 93d | Facaie | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,606 | +$28 +0.2% | 2 |
| 93d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,819 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,522 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d | AnonymousPerson | ↑ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 93d |  walnascar | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,481 | +$19 +0.8% | 2 |
| 93d | Egozic86 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$135 +9.0% | 3 |
| 93d | Rin2x | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | Embellished-Cruise | ↑ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,459 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | Embellished-Cruise | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,992 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | Kirilli | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,989 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,804 | +$11 +0.4% | 2 |
| 93d | onlyhit | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,975 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 93d |  Leisurely | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,521 | +$8 +0.5% | 2 |
| 93d | 0xe617…f251 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$36 +1.8% | 2 |
| 94d | Egozic86 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$13 +1.1% | 2 |
| 94d | RhinoBank3 fills | ↓ 65,000 | BuyYes40¢ → 0¢ | $3,600 | −$3,600 −100% | 7 |
bjprolo5 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on July 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 66,000 means the market gives it about 100%.