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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 92d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,359 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Doomster2 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,658 | +$11 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d |  gugu-gaga | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | gugu-gaga | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,550 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 92d |  Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $79,920 | +$80 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $22,028 | +$268 +1.2% | 2 |
| 92d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,011 | +$61 +1.2% | 2 |
| 92d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $17,377 | +$445 +2.6% | 2 |
| 92d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $10,570 | +$194 +1.8% | 2 |
| 92d | lingke | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,000 | +$70 +1.2% | 2 |
| 92d | onlyhit | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,749 | +$36 +2.0% | 2 |
| 92d |  Leisurely | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,538 | +$31 +2.0% | 2 |
| 92d | j5673 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d | Tttyh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,331 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,970 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 92d |  walnascar | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,151 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d | walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,377 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Facaie | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,154 | +$12 +1.0% | 2 |
| 92d | Facaie | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,990 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 92d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,293 | +$135 +1.6% | 2 |
| 92d | Egozic86 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 92d | Egozic86 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,500 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 92d | Kirilli | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,969 | +$33 +1.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Embellished-Cruise | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,934 | +$66 +1.1% | 2 |
| 92d | Leisurely | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,413 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 92d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,840 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 93d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,455 | +$45 +3.1% | 2 |
| 93d | never-stop-clicking | ↓ 65,000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,839 | −$29 −1.0% | — |
| 93d |  justdance | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo56¢ → 0¢ | $2,548 | −$2,548 −100% | 4 |
| 93d | never-stop-clicking | ↓ 65,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,008 | +$860 +43% | 4 |
| 93d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,311 | +$119 +5.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 23?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 65,000 means the market gives it about 100%.