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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −59 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,427 | +$21 +0.2% | 2 |
| 91d | Mizukaze | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,910 | +$64 +0.4% | 2 |
| 91d |  Facaie | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,382 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d |  Leisurely | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,585 | +$13 +0.8% | 2 |
| 91d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,161 | +$39 +1.2% | 2 |
| 91d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 91d |  justdance | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$180 +14% | 3 |
| 92d | Kirilli | ↓ 61,000 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | −$11 −1.0% | — |
| 92d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 64,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,492 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 92d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 24?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 63,000 means the market gives it about 0%.