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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −30 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 87d |  Facaie | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 87d | Funboyboy | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,532 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 87d | Mizukaze | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,092 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | Mizukaze | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,977 | +$46 +0.5% | 2 |
| 87d | Mizukaze | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,253 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | 9527966 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,932 | +$68 +1.7% | 2 |
| 87d | onlyhit | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,236 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 87d | Facaie | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 87d | magcidwa | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$26 +0.5% | 2 |
| 87d | lingke | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,000 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 87d | jjjclv6 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,300 | +$35 +0.6% | 2 |
| 87d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,160 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 87d | farthingmore | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,478 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 87d |  Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,976 | +$181 +0.3% | 2 |
| 87d | Soham892 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$23 +2.1% | 2 |
| 87d |  walnascar | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,488 | +$13 +0.5% | 2 |
| 87d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 87d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,787 | +$59 +3.3% | 2 |
| 87d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,631 | +$19 +1.1% | 2 |
| 87d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,328 | −$41 −3.1% | — |
| 87d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $6,872 | +$695 +10% | 3 |
| 87d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,240 | +$960 +43% | 4 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 28?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 62,000 means the market gives it about 0%.