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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −17 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 112d | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,265 | +$26 +0.8% | 2 | |
| 112d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,966 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 112d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,301 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 112d | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,024 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 112d | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,698 | +$28 +0.6% | 2 | |
| 112d | Rin2x | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,008 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 112d | Rin2x | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,692 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 112d | Isucksobadatthis | ↑ 63,000 | BuyYes38¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 6 |
| 112d | ↑ 63,000 | SellYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,652 | +$1,652 +100% | — | |
| 112d | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo44¢ → 100¢ | $2,510 | +$3,134 +125% | 5 | |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | ↑ 63,000 | BuyYes49¢ → 0¢ | $8,887 | −$8,887 −100% | 4 |
| 112d | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,104 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 | |
| 112d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04525 fills | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo68¢ → 100¢ | $10,179 | +$4,781 +47% | 4 |
| 112d | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo61¢ → 100¢ | $10,807 | +$6,942 +64% | 4 | |
| 113d | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,081 | +$14 +1.3% | 2 | |
| 113d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,909 | +$72 +1.2% | 2 |
| 113d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,820 | +$144 +2.1% | 2 |
| 113d | WealthyMind | ↑ 63,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 7 |
| 113d | Cactus-0012 fills | ↑ 62,000 | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $8,000 | +$1,470 +18% | 3 |
| 113d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,983 | +$40 +2.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 3?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 62,000 means the market gives it about 100%.