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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −7 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 85d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $6,294 | +$32 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | AnonymousPerson2 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $5,970 | +$30 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | Mizukaze | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $14,178 | +$71 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,527 | +$23 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | onlyhit | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,237 | +$6 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | Funboyboy | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $23,318 | +$117 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $8,879 | +$67 +0.8% | 2 |
| 85d | Alanfree | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,900 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $97,242 | +$195 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | Assured-Familiarity | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,857 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $4,975 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 85d | Tttyh | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,627 | +$214 +2.2% | 2 |
| 85d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 85d | Embellished-Cruise | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,991 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 85d | onlyhit | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 85d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$16 +1.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 67,000 means the market gives it about 0%.