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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −57 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −12 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 84d | santnicolas2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,080 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d |  EA-SY | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,524 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | AnonymousPerson3 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,066 | +$22 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Noteagle | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d |  ping0125 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,459 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d |  Tttyh3 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,040 | +$60 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | ping0125 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | AnonymousPerson5 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $20,098 | +$53 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | Tttyh7 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $46,086 | +$104 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | SkyLove7 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Noteagle | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,994 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 84d | spxtest | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,291 | +$10 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d |  leleko2k | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,287 | +$13 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | JIJIJIJIJIJIJI | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | 9527966 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,196 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d |  Facaie | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,990 | +$10 +0.5% | 2 |
| 84d |  meowmers | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,469 | +$30 +1.2% | 2 |
| 84d | Tianhe | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,723 | +$39 +1.4% | 2 |
| 84d | Rin2x | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,493 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $29,933 | +$135 +0.5% | 2 |
| 84d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $4,275 | +$214 +5.0% | 2 |
| 84d | Overcooked-Spinach | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,600 | +$11 +0.3% | 2 |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,959 | +$153 +3.1% | 2 |
| 84d | Rhabarberbarbarbar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $17,473 | +$106 +0.6% | 2 |
| 84d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$13 +0.6% | 2 |
| 84d | Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $56,019 | +$56 +0.1% | 2 |
| 84d |  walnascar | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,733 | +$10 +0.6% | 2 |
| 84d | 0x1fd0…c6a7 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,364 | +$64 +1.2% | 2 |
| 84d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,590 | +$77 +1.0% | 2 |
| 84d | Kirilli | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,477 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 84d | Lkens | ↓ 63,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,241 | +$39 +1.7% | 2 |
| 85d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,566 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 85d | 0xf23c…0a16 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,500 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 31?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 61,000 means the market gives it about 0%.