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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 109d |  Tttyh2 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,198 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $23,734 | +$508 +2.1% | 2 |
| 109d |  EA-SY | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,086 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,808 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 61,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,461 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | anon.1980.1236 fills | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $34,273 | +$936 +2.7% | 2 |
| 109d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,747 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | anon.1980.1236 fills | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $19,088 | +$347 +1.8% | 2 |
| 109d | anon.1980.1233 fills | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo79¢ → 100¢ | $9,330 | −$2,551 −27% | — |
| 109d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,875 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $1,135 | −$1,135 −100% | 4 |
| 109d |  walnascar | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,367 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 109d | Noteagle | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 109d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,811 | +$30 +1.1% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 64,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $12,080 | +$5,079 +42% | 4 |
| 109d |  Leisurely | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,269 | +$9 +0.4% | 2 |
| 109d |  TCBY66882 fills | ↑ 66,000 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $5,758 | −$252 −4.4% | — |
| 109d | TCBY6688 | ↑ 65,000 | SellNo90¢ → 100¢ | $1,334 | −$156 −12% | — |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04523 fills | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $9,502 | +$2,833 +30% | 4 |
| 109d | Krejza68 | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,976 | +$24 +1.2% | 2 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyYes51¢ → 0¢ | $1,783 | −$1,783 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $1,421 | −$1,421 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,119 | +$53 +4.8% | 2 |
| 110d | TCBY6688 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,441 | +$15 +1.0% | 2 |
| 110d | GRSEDG | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,230 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | ghtrdshg | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | nearping | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyYes35¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | +$3,289 +186% | 6 |
| 110d |  olegs | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,313 | +$27 +2.0% | 2 |
| 110d | rtuh56 | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,007 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | giuhjhkg | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,031 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | jytdfhres | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,028 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 110d | jytfkuyi | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,237 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 65,000 means the market gives it about 0%.