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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | −32 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 62,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 106d | fghtyughvuhjhj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fghyuihijyuh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fggvyguhivbnk | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,013 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ygufgfyghvb | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fghghujghjk | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtyytuguigfhj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,023 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfyftgtyguh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtddsftrfcv | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | redghuhghguh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dsfdftyghhjk | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgtyughjjkl | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgtyfggjhing | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rttryutyuyui | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ertrtyutruyyui | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | trfytyutfyuhg | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgdftfghyfu | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fghgghfu | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fghghghjhj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | vhgdfgfgfgtyuu | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | hjfgghvcgbr | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgtyfghyu | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtfghhyuhj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | bvgdtfryty | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ftrdtrfyf | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ghghghhjjkl | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | uikokoluiopl | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | erdfgfghu | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fgytfuyggh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | kukuijkjlhj | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | tyyuunukjlui | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 106d | Mizukaze | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,146 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | eddfgyuhjh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,905 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fggdfgdtffg | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | tyfghfguhg | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgtryguj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dsfsdrtfyf | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | dfgfygughj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | sdfgtyuyuu | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | tyghjdfertud | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | reggyuyughyuui | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ghuuionhjkj | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fdgtfygubghjh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 64,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,248 | +$312 +25% | 4 |
| 106d | dfgftyugbnk | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | retfgfguhcvh | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | tgfgyghfguhij | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,018 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fgjhyuijhkuio | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ytfuhuykjiyuui | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | tyrtyuhgjkh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rttytyufghuy | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtyghjghuyh | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,017 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ruyghjuimkj | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | erfgvcghtyfg | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,016 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtygfhuyijhk | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,020 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ghuhvbhjjj | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,014 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | rtyfgtfghgyu | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,021 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | ghjughyuijhuj | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | fgrdtyjmyhuy | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,015 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 106d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,532 | +$18 +0.4% | 2 |
| 106d |  Tttyh | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,483 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on July 9?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 66,000 means the market gives it about 0%.