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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 64,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 58,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 124d |  upont9 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $52,711 | +$106 +0.2% | 2 |
| 124d |  Velose | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,336 | +$9 +0.7% | 2 |
| 124d | Doomster | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,638 | +$23 +1.4% | 2 |
| 124d | Doomster | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,499 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 124d | Mizukaze | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,351 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 124d | Mizukaze | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,535 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 124d |  Tttyh | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,722 | +$16 +0.6% | 2 |
| 124d | loveheng | ↑ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,815 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 124d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$21 +1.4% | 2 |
| 124d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,205 | +$166 +2.7% | 2 |
| 124d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,737 | +$152 +2.3% | 2 |
| 124d |  justdance | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $4,800 | +$1,200 +25% | 3 |
| 124d | justdance | ↑ 65,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $5,460 | +$540 +9.9% | 3 |
| 125d |  walnascar | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,281 | +$14 +0.6% | 2 |
| 125d |  olegs | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 125d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,452 | +$28 +1.9% | 2 |
| 125d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,366 | +$34 +1.4% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 64,000 means the market gives it about 100%.