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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 58,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 57,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 61,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 56,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 55,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 62,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 59,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 60,000 | 0% | −60 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 53,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 54,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 63,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 64,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 67,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 66,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 52,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 65,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 115d |  Tttyh | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,541 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d |  gebilaowang | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,516 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04524 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $10,407 | +$152 +1.5% | 2 |
| 115d |  Leisurely | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,631 | +$32 +1.2% | 2 |
| 115d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $5,994 | +$119 +2.0% | 2 |
| 115d | anon.1980.1232 fills | ↑ 60,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $8,296 | +$141 +1.7% | 2 |
| 115d |  EVPLUS.AI | ↓ 58,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $2,570 | +$193 +7.5% | 3 |
| 115d | Rin2x2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,754 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 115d |  GoodLuck68886 | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | +$18 +0.7% | 2 |
| 115d | Rin2x | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,926 | +$14 +0.7% | 2 |
| 115d | strengthinnumbers | ↓ 58,000 | SellNo79¢ → 0¢ | $2,449 | +$2,449 +100% | — |
| 115d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,358 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | loveheng | ↓ 54,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,928 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d |  tomok | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,115 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 115d |  justdance4 fills | ↓ 58,000 | BuyYes32¢ → 100¢ | $7,527 | +$15,990 +212% | 11 |
| 115d |  walnascar | ↓ 53,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,346 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 115d | Doomster | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,278 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 115d | JJ121885 | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$303 +10% | 3 |
| 115d | farthingmore | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | +$84 +7.5% | 2 |
| 115d | Spice01 | ↓ 56,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$76 +4.2% | 2 |
| 115d |  SheepToken | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo34¢ → 0¢ | $1,187 | −$1,187 −100% | 5 |
| 115d | justdance | ↓ 57,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,237 | −$1,237 −100% | 5 |
| 115d |  TCBY6688 | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,072 | +$33 +3.0% | 2 |
| 115d | justdance | ↓ 57,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,124 | +$1,767 +43% | 4 |
| 115d | Unfolded-Keeper | ↑ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,035 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 115d | justdance | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo48¢ → 0¢ | $2,823 | −$2,823 −100% | 4 |
| 115d |  CoinTrick | ↓ 59,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,432 | +$13 +0.2% | 2 |
| 115d | Candela | ↓ 53,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,591 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $2,182 | −$2,182 −100% | 4 |
| 115d | justdance2 fills | ↑ 61,000 | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $9,854 | +$1,947 +20% | 3 |
| 115d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 58,000 | BuyYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$2,036 +194% | 4 |
| 115d | justdance | ↓ 59,000 | BuyNo21¢ → 0¢ | $1,237 | −$1,237 −100% | 5 |
| 115d | justdance | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,746 | +$75 +4.3% | 2 |
| 115d | Candela | ↓ 55,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,579 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 116d |  LiMoon | ↑ 62,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,193 | +$91 +4.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on June 30?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 58,000 means the market gives it about 100%.