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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 225d |  TTokin | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,199 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | utamanda | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,487 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | gordonr | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | 777888belive | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,123 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | qomark | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,453 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | mondwed | ↑ 77,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,263 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 225d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,964 | +$12 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | diaosiyige | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,415 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | diaosiyige2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $7,180 | +$97 +1.4% | 2 |
| 225d | Funboyboy | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,922 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 225d | Repulsive-Member | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,399 | +$15 +1.1% | 2 |
| 225d | GZQ | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,002 | +$33 +1.6% | 2 |
| 225d |  Rhabarberbarbarbar2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,999 | +$33 +0.4% | 2 |
| 225d | Gozi | ↑ 72,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $7,026 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 225d |  Boss7 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,970 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | thurs | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Cactus-001 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,629 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Tingyi1026 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,253 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | niaou | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,833 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | niaou | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,089 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | appley | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,356 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | ubwilfred | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,599 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | florenceb | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,040 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | ylwfjohn | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,450 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes69¢ → 100¢ | $6,464 | +$2,888 +45% | 6 |
| 225d | venusgaming | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo71¢ → 0¢ | $4,132 | −$4,132 −100% | 4 |
| 225d | Thin-Print | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,564 | +$52 +2.0% | 2 |
| 225d | Rhabarberbarbarbar | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,325 | +$46 +0.7% | 2 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica7 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyYes68¢ → 100¢ | $15,252 | +$7,298 +48% | 6 |
| 225d | Rhabarberbarbarbar2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,457 | +$13 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Thin-Print | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $6,745 | −$6,745 −100% | 2 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo72¢ → 0¢ | $4,236 | −$4,236 −100% | 6 |
| 225d | rockyyou | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,058 | +$40 +0.7% | 2 |
| 225d |  justdance | ↑ 71,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 100¢ | $1,213 | +$4,592 +378% | 6 |
| 225d | Yaod | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Cawi | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Xaiwe | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Yaia | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,083 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Kaies | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $6,458 | +$784 +12% | 3 |
| 225d | venusgaming | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $2,498 | −$2,498 −100% | 4 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica4 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $8,038 | +$3,692 +46% | 6 |
| 225d | Thin-Print | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,468 | +$72 +1.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Solmaxi8888.sol | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 225d | Boss7 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,395 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Boss7 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,295 | +$9 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$11 +0.5% | 2 |
| 225d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,992 | +$264 +8.8% | 3 |
| 225d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,993 | +$63 +0.3% | 2 |
| 225d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$47 +0.9% | 2 |
| 225d | Funboyboy | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,417 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Winbiggg | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,007 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Polyyyy | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,366 | +$44 +3.2% | 2 |
| 225d | Noteagle | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,054 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 225d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $4,899 | +$100 +2.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 67,000 means the market gives it about 0%.