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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 222d | xuejiao | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 222d | xuyanggmail | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $7,571 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,292 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | MarquisDeMott | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $3,027 | +$327 +11% | 3 |
| 222d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $4,482 | +$498 +11% | 3 |
| 222d |  upont | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,455 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | upont | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,540 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | Tianhe | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,340 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d |  Boss7 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,540 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | kaixinchuichui1 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | Boss7 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,094 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,974 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | upont | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,389 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | upont | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,478 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | upont | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,657 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | Thin-Print | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,818 | +$71 +1.2% | 2 |
| 222d | Boss7 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,657 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 222d | Sharky6999 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,429 | +$25 +1.0% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $4,478 | +$1,454 +32% | 5 |
| 222d | neuville11 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,003 | +$7 +0.7% | 2 |
| 222d | Thin-Print | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 0¢ | $1,194 | −$1,194 −100% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica5 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $9,568 | +$3,550 +37% | 4 |
| 222d |  TTokin2 fills | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,217 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 0¢ | $6,478 | −$6,478 −100% | 4 |
| 222d | TTokin | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,107 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 222d | Generous-Inn | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,069 | −$1,069 −100% | 4 |
| 222d | Thin-Print | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,088 | +$74 +1.2% | 2 |
| 222d | Thin-Print | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,923 | +$72 +1.2% | 2 |
| 222d |  olegs2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 0¢ | $10,605 | −$10,605 −100% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 72,000 | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,721 | +$269 +9.9% | 3 |
| 222d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$25 +0.5% | 2 |
| 222d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo36¢ → 0¢ | $1,051 | −$1,051 −100% | 5 |
| 222d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$41 +2.0% | 2 |
| 222d | tryretgertyer | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,177 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | trhyrtgyertger | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,178 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | yjuhrtyeryhrt | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,175 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | trhyuertger | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,176 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | thtghjyyjghtsg | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,788 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 222d | uyjyjuytrtrytyhrtyher | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,173 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | trrrrrrstgryry | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,180 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | yttyuyjuykyjythtrjtr | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,176 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | rgtrtewrwrertry | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,188 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | eefaeretryhtryhtry | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,175 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | yjhrtghsetgdrdhyrtj | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,180 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $2,301 | +$96 +4.2% | 2 |
| 222d | Funboyboy | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,533 | +$15 +0.2% | 2 |
| 222d | qibajiu | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo64¢ → 0¢ | $1,703 | −$1,703 −100% | 4 |
| 222d | charlie2026 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,084 | +$4 +0.4% | 2 |
| 223d | Funboyboy | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,049 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 70,000 means the market gives it about 0%.