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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 216d |  upont | ↓ 67,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $19,877 | −$20 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | upont | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,111 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | 0x9fa15722f9d6a56d6c204ce5d4880874a60b335d | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,454 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | hjhiugnghu2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,479 | +$42 +0.6% | 2 |
| 216d | feiy20046 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | gegeg20047 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,031 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Nifteguy | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,000 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d |  Tttyh | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | C54KIOO | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,090 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | gfgf2048 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,029 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | lnarix2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $23,406 | +$111 +0.5% | 2 |
| 216d |  TTokin | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,218 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d |  169ggg | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,494 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | upont | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $6,007 | +$110 +1.8% | 2 |
| 216d | 0xDB5 | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,458 | −$3 −0.2% | — |
| 216d | ppobb1123 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,944 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | loveheng | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,633 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | suyizi | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,755 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | 0x417932ca3da34bf3df20009512a85b2eee9429c3 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,010 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | upont | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $38,867 | +$102 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Mizukaze | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,548 | +$14 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Tttyh | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $22,046 | +$44 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,902 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d | 8848meters | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,047 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Tttyh | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,783 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,869 | +$492 +10% | 3 |
| 216d | deranged4 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,471 | +$43 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | deranged2 fills | ↑ 76,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,831 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | diaosiyige2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo27¢ → 100¢ | $2,932 | −$7,837 −267% | — |
| 216d | deranged2 fills | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,093 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | deranged | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,539 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 216d | ah0.1 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $2,800 | +$14 +0.5% | 2 |
| 216d | Sharky69992 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,405 | +$83 +2.4% | 2 |
| 216d | ah0.1 | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,815 | −$6 −0.2% | — |
| 216d | deranged | ↓ 64,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,244 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 216d |  EVTEST | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$26 +1.7% | 2 |
| 216d |  MistakesmadeinawalletthatIcontrolled | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,800 | +$27 +1.5% | 2 |
| 216d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $1,584 | +$1,265 +80% | 5 |
| 216d | deranged | ↓ 65,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,598 | −$7 −0.2% | — |
| 216d | Tttyh | ↓ 63,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $6,993 | −$7 −0.1% | — |
| 216d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,534 | +$910 +16% | 3 |
| 216d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 0¢ | $11,916 | −$11,916 −100% | 2 |
| 216d | diaosiyige | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,229 | +$28 +0.3% | 2 |
| 216d | Thin-Print | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo100¢ | $9,352 | −$47 −0.5% | — |
| 216d | Attentive-Silica4 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo54¢ → 0¢ | $6,126 | −$6,126 −100% | 5 |
| 216d |  justdance | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,453 | +$1,453 +100% | 5 |
| 216d | Deafening-Refund | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,740 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 216d | deranged | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | deranged | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,601 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | ah0.1 | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,817 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | rockyyou2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,519 | +$40 +0.9% | 2 |
| 216d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $13,111 | +$432 +3.3% | 2 |
| 216d | neotrader | ↓ 70,000 | SellNo68¢ → 0¢ | $3,076 | +$3,076 +100% | — |
| 216d | neotrader | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $2,803 | −$2,803 −100% | 4 |
| 216d | deranged | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,614 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | bean125 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,000 | +$17 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | bean125 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,903 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | bhkMarvin | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,009 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 216d | ascetic0x | ↓ 69,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 0¢ | $1,997 | −$1,997 −100% | 2 |
| 216d |  chenandyk | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,268 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 21?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 78,000 means the market gives it about 0%.