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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 211d | Buttery-Bathtub | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,674 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | paranoidman | ↓ 66,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,013 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 211d |  upont | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,365 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | wonpi | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,291 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | Reckless-Preservation | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,072 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 211d |  Tttyh | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,994 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | upont | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,626 | +$25 +0.7% | 2 |
| 211d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $13,421 | +$802 +6.0% | 3 |
| 211d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | lnarix | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,153 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | lnarix | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,489 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | upont4 fills | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $19,089 | +$193 +1.0% | 2 |
| 211d | Rickz88 | ↓ 67,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,863 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 211d | LOVE55802 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,000 | +$22 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | 0xbec3…431b | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,417 | +$175 +12% | 3 |
| 211d | allen111 | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $5,157 | +$703 +14% | 3 |
| 211d | 0xbec3…431b | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,435 | −$6 −0.4% | — |
| 211d | upont2 fills | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $15,732 | +$63 +0.4% | 2 |
| 211d | xulinlin029 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,101 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | Thin-Print | ↑ 72,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,404 | −$15 −0.2% | — |
| 211d | deranged | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,602 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,048 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | rockyyou | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,926 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | Tttyh | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | deranged | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,626 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | ah0.1 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,196 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d |  bcnboy | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,238 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | 0xbec3…431b | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,411 | +$29 +2.0% | 2 |
| 211d | Attentive-Silica4 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $7,363 | +$3,656 +50% | 5 |
| 211d |  Chetonsol | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$23 +1.5% | 2 |
| 211d | nigeriaa2 fills | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,384 | +$16 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | YautjaPM22 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,818 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | Deafening-Refund | ↓ 68,000 | SellNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,755 | −$524 −30% | — |
| 211d |  justdance3 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $13,585 | +$3,757 +28% | 3 |
| 211d | bdsg10042 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $3,453 | +$3,522 +102% | 4 |
| 211d |  chenandyk | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$32 +2.1% | 2 |
| 211d | chenandyk | ↑ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,499 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 211d | deranged | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,135 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d |  Boss7 | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,002 | +$12 +0.4% | 2 |
| 211d | Boss72 fills | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,186 | +$5 +0.3% | 2 |
| 211d | 0xe617…f2512 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,999 | +$83 +1.4% | 2 |
| 211d | 0xe617…f2514 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,499 | +$116 +1.2% | 2 |
| 211d | Attentive-Silica3 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $6,793 | −$6,793 −100% | 4 |
| 211d | bean1252 fills | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $18,285 | +$18 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 68,000 | BuyYes39¢ → 0¢ | $4,458 | −$4,458 −100% | 7 |
| 211d | Boss72 fills | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,799 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 211d | YautjaPM2 | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,586 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 211d | Boss7 | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,287 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | lnarix | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,407 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | Thin-Print2 fills | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,565 | +$199 +3.0% | 2 |
| 211d | Thin-Print | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,527 | +$72 +2.0% | 2 |
| 211d | xiaoxue6731 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,150 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | Tingyi1026 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,321 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 211d | xulinlin0292 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes93¢ → 100¢ | $3,002 | +$211 +7.0% | 2 |
| 211d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | ↓ 69,000 | BuyYes74¢ → 100¢ | $3,050 | +$1,072 +35% | 4 |
| 211d | Funboyboy | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,982 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 211d | Funboyboy | ↑ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,082 | +$18 +0.3% | 2 |
| 212d | chenandyk | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,500 | +$22 +1.5% | 2 |
| 212d | chenandyk | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,999 | +$51 +2.6% | 2 |
| 212d | Attentive-Silica | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,153 | +$46 +4.0% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 26?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 68,000 means the market gives it about 0%.