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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 71,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 77,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 76,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 68,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 232d | MO5777 | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,151 | +$2,151 +100% | — |
| 232d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes44¢ → 0¢ | $2,673 | −$2,673 −100% | 8 |
| 232d | MO5777 | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,075 | −$1,075 −100% | 5 |
| 232d | bean125 | ↑ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,278 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | bean125 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,265 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 232d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd4 | ↓ 70,000 | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $1,601 | +$1,601 +100% | — |
| 232d | x6916Cc00AA1c3e75ECf4081DF7caE7D2f3592fd43 fills | ↓ 70,000 | BuyYes28¢ → 0¢ | $5,152 | −$5,152 −100% | 11 |
| 232d | Attentive-SilicaNew account | ↓ 70,000 | BuyNo67¢ → 100¢ | $4,026 | +$1,984 +49% | 6 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 5?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↓ 71,000 means the market gives it about 100%.