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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 72,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 63,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 75,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 74,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 71,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 70,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 69,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 68,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 67,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 66,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 65,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 64,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 62,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 61,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 60,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 228d | Damp-Mailing | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,240 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | Attentive-Silica2 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $8,016 | +$935 +12% | 3 |
| 228d |  Boss73 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,777 | +$42 +0.3% | 2 |
| 228d |  upont | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,598 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 228d | upont | ↑ 73,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,598 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | ghsretuyjvbj | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 228d | AnonymousPerson | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $3,416 | +$17 +0.5% | 2 |
| 228d | huanxingjie | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$24 +0.5% | 2 |
| 228d | Livvie | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | choohkz23 | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $4,442 | +$195 +4.4% | 2 |
| 228d | madurini | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,449 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | upont7 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $29,481 | +$150 +0.5% | 2 |
| 228d | Nururururu | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,379 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,228 | +$18 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | dfyhtyjfdhtyuo | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,490 | +$10 +0.4% | 2 |
| 228d | upont4 fills | ↑ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $16,643 | +$33 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | Rickz882 fills | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo53¢ → 100¢ | $9,478 | −$8,428 −89% | — |
| 228d | Attentive-Silica | ↑ 71,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $1,496 | −$1,496 −100% | 7 |
| 228d | Prize-Judge | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,314 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | kederrac | ↑ 70,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $8,723 | −$9 −0.1% | — |
| 228d | MarquisDeMott | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $2,562 | +$44 +1.7% | 2 |
| 228d | Attentive-Silica4 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes80¢ → 100¢ | $11,454 | +$2,952 +26% | 5 |
| 228d |  justdance2 fills | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo40¢ → 0¢ | $2,966 | −$2,966 −100% | 7 |
| 228d | Tingyi1026 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,286 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Ivanzhan | ↑ 71,000 | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,052 | −$42 −2.0% | — |
| 228d | hjkgcjfgjgh | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,794 | +$6 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | fgjfgjhfdfyhs | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | Rickz883 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,825 | +$38 +0.3% | 2 |
| 228d | Boss7 | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,788 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 228d | Boss72 fills | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,387 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | jklyygfyvgjghjghb | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,499 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | jklktujghjrygyi | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,497 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hgjftjvgjtyigyh | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,220 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | jlhfcyubnkjnl | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,500 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hjhiugnghu | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,006 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | xulinlin029 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,325 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | xuejiao | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,405 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | rockyyou | ↓ 66,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$22 +0.7% | 2 |
| 228d | shuangming1219 | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,561 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d |  Siuuuuuuuuu | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,600 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Cactus-001 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,890 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Thin-Print3 fills | ↑ 71,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $9,734 | +$105 +1.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Thin-Print | ↓ 65,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,087 | +$18 +1.6% | 2 |
| 228d | fscraigi | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,492 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Xaiwe | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Cawi | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,071 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,108 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hjhiugnghu | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | hjhiugnghu | ↑ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,436 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | diaosiyige | ↓ 60,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,260 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | bean125 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,769 | +$6 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | patternrecovery | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 100¢ | $1,487 | +$3,019 +203% | 5 |
| 228d | kederrac | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes24¢ → 100¢ | $1,092 | +$3,457 +317% | 4 |
| 228d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 64,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$24 +0.8% | 2 |
| 228d | 0xe617…f251 | ↑ 72,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,999 | +$88 +1.8% | 2 |
| 228d | 0xe617…f251 | ↓ 63,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$26 +0.9% | 2 |
| 228d | justdance | ↑ 70,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,619 | +$2,879 +178% | 5 |
| 228d | hyperzhao | ↑ 70,000 | BuyNo63¢ → 0¢ | $1,946 | −$1,946 −100% | 4 |
| 228d | Boss7 | ↓ 61,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,186 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 228d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↓ 62,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,028 | +$25 +0.4% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on March 9?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 72,000 means the market gives it about 0%.