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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 175d |  Facaie | ↑ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,738 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d |  PredictionYogi | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,469 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | Facaie | ↑ 81,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,344 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 175d | tyhtuhytifjyuik | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,041 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | uytjuykiukui | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,066 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ththuyjyjkyu | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ytruytiyu8io | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dftgdfyhjuy | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | rgytruhytijuy | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | Mizukaze | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,979 | +$21 +0.5% | 2 |
| 175d | Mizukaze | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,833 | +$11 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | agfujhkhjkl | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | Mizukaze | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,381 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | ertgrhuyikulk | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,065 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | rfghyjk | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | 0x5616…2106 | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,400 | +$41 +1.2% | 2 |
| 175d |  ZeinST | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,033 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | fdghjkljh | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,086 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | yuigfdsdfghj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | fghjklkjhgfds | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,107 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ertyuioiujfgds | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | hjulhgfder | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | sdfghjgfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | Funboyboy | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,495 | +$6 +0.4% | 2 |
| 175d | fdghjkljhg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,103 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | fdghjklhgf | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjklkjn.fghj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,057 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | fghjklnb | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjklkjhgf | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,057 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | hjfdsdfjhhgf | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjkljhgfds | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjkhgfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | tyjkuyhkrgfhusrdtgr | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | fdhghrdyhtfjty | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | asnwjabehnfoesj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dyfgiuerfguiewrr | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,057 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | tfhsarfassr | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ertyuiuter | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfgatgtdyhtr | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj2 fills | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,092 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ertyuioytre | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,104 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | rtyuteretyu | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,085 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | gfhdrgtdstgtj | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 175d | asedsresgt | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfjkjjfdsdfghj | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | jfhfdgsdtgr | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | rthujkhfdsa | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,087 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | grtfhgftge | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | gdfsarfdftgrrrgrt | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,057 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjkfgds | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,119 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | hfdgesrdwtgrftuhth | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfgfdssdfgb | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,096 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | yrtfijuyitfghrgetg | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | jhhgfdsdfg | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | eryhrtuyhtyik | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | rdtgesrfawe | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,056 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | ertyuewert | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,098 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | dfghjfs | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | fdratresfdse | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 175d | sdfhgfda | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,088 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 75,000 means the market gives it about 0%.