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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −41 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −16 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 162d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 83,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,491 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,795 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 162d | kkyys | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,099 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | hoiiew | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,136 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | GoingGangrene | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,996 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | ghfdhfdjd | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | okx.btc | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,435 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | fgfdhfgjfg | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,061 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | xdgfghfj | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dsfdshgdfhf | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASDCAFASG | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | ASGASFASCZX | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | 528.btc | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,802 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | euprty | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,465 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d |  Tttyh3 fills | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,980 | +$20 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | GASDFCXZASGA | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASFCZXVASDDFG | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,056 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASDZCASWSF | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASDASFGASD | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASFDASFA | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,055 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | SGSDFXVWER | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | HXSDGSGSDGS | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | HSDHSDFSF | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | FSGWSDFSGD | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | SGSDFSDGSD | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GTWEFSDFSDFV | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | ESGTWSFDSDDF | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,054 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | GASCZXGFAF | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,059 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Funboyboy | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $28,073 | +$62 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,677 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | Unwelcome-Wrap | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $202,298 | +$203 +0.1% | 2 |
| 162d | dfgjhhdfghjk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dsfjkjdfghj | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | sdfghjsdfghjk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,065 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | sfdghjdf | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,054 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dsfghjkfdgjk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,068 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | sadsfghjdfghjk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,058 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dsfghjhdfgh | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dfghjgfdfgh | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,061 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Woozy-Craw | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,063 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | safhddfghjdfgd | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | sadfghwghsdfg | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dfghjklfjdfghjk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Francescfgdf | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dfgfyhjklksdfgh | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Felicityann | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,070 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | afdgkjljsadfjhk | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,067 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Evelyngrace | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | dfgjklsdfgjkl | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Estefaniama | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Emmalynnrae | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Elizabethtfgh | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Eleanorahope | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,070 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | fdghjklytegfhj | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,070 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Dianamarie | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Desiraeannsdfg | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Desiraeann | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,070 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Delilahrose | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 162d | Danicamarie | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 14?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 86,000 means the market gives it about 0%.