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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 161d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,272 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 161d | lnarix | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,997 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,458 | +$14 +0.2% | 2 |
| 161d | sdfghjsdfghjk | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 161d | dfgjhhdfghjk | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 161d | dsfjkjdfghj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,066 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 161d | fdghjklytegfhj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,078 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 161d | Cylindrical-Sponge | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,343 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d | Valerianka2 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,314 | +$21 +0.9% | 2 |
| 161d | bean125 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,972 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d | Unwelcome-Wrap | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $201,799 | +$202 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d | lookdone | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,347 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d |  walnascar | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,058 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d |  Cayou | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,633 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 161d | bean125 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,813 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 161d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,950 | +$327 +6.6% | 2 |
| 161d | Candela | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,172 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
Shallan1,848 shares
bjprolo55 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on May 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.