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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −14 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 69,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 158d | rusgreat | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,980 | +$20 +1.0% | 2 |
| 158d |  upont | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,977 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | hgfjfgk | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | kdujf | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | gfdurtf | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | trerutyi | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | ghfjfti | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | gfduhtfikgh | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | dfgfdujft | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | sdgfdsh | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | ghdfhfd | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | ghfkfgo | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | drurtit | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,071 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | ytiyo | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | gfjgj | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,072 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | fgdrfji | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,074 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | hdfhdfx | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,073 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Cylindrical-Sponge | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,043 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Livvie | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,996 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | uliani | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,669 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | xiaohao023 | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,098 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | xiaohao023023 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,100 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Hao04 | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,060 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d |  Yiyou | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,860 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | XX990 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,011 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | ILOVEMONEYX | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,121 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d |  Tttyh | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,978 | +$10 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Timely-Expansionism | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,100 | +$8 +0.7% | 2 |
| 158d |  Cayou | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo100¢ | $1,771 | +$9 +0.5% | 2 |
| 158d | PORR251225 | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,980 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Valerianka | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,318 | +$21 +1.6% | 2 |
| 158d |  walnascar | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | Glennraven | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,461 | +$4 +0.3% | 2 |
| 158d | GoingGangrene2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,166 | +$31 +0.5% | 2 |
| 158d | Tttyh | ↓ 71,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,395 | −$5 −0.2% | — |
| 158d |  justdance | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,117 | −$1,117 −100% | 5 |
| 158d | Tttyh2 fills | ↓ 71,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,921 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | Cayou | ↑ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,663 | +$7 +0.4% | 2 |
| 158d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,000 | +$442 +8.8% | 3 |
| 158d | Candela | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,633 | +$9 +0.2% | 2 |
| 158d | dsffsdf | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,131 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 158d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes60¢ → 0¢ | $5,279 | −$5,279 −100% | 4 |
| 158d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↑ 79,000 | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$94 +8.7% | 3 |
| 158d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $4,260 | +$1,826 +43% | 4 |
| 159d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,219 | +$51 +4.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 18?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 77,000 means the market gives it about 100%.