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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 78,000 | 0% | −47 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 79,000 | 0% | −22 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 80,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 71,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 70,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −24 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −49 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153d | Ornery-Temporary | ↓ 74,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,020 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Colorful-Fireplace | ↑ 78,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,100 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 153d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 75,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,184 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,930 | +$30 +0.6% | 2 |
| 154d | Mizukaze | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,627 | +$8 +0.3% | 2 |
| 154d | Mizukaze2 fills | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $11,298 | +$19 +0.2% | 2 |
| 154d |  Tttyh3 fills | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,351 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 154d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,815 | +$53 +0.4% | 2 |
| 154d | Tttyh | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,840 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 154d |  Facaie | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,966 | +$34 +1.7% | 2 |
| 154d | Timely-Expansionism | ↓ 73,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,200 | +$11 +0.9% | 2 |
| 154d |  walnascar | ↓ 72,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,984 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 154d | Unwelcome-Wrap | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $204,795 | +$205 +0.1% | 2 |
| 154d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 76,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $2,997 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 154d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $3,270 | +$918 +28% | 3 |
| 154d |  justdance2 fills | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo73¢ → 100¢ | $8,533 | +$3,237 +38% | 4 |
| 154d | Humongous-Fly | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes97¢ → 100¢ | $2,923 | +$77 +2.6% | 2 |
| 154d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,823 | +$18 +1.0% | 2 |
| 154d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,335 | +$73 +1.2% | 2 |
| 154d | 0x6E1d5040d0ac73709B0621F620d2a60b80d2D0F2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes56¢ → 100¢ | $3,307 | +$2,601 +79% | 4 |
| 154d | justdance2 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyYes70¢ → 100¢ | $2,428 | +$1,048 +43% | 4 |
| 154d | justdance5 fills | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $15,177 | −$15,177 −100% | 4 |
| 154d | Colorful-Fireplace | ↑ 78,000 | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $1,035 | +$66 +6.4% | 3 |
| 154d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo88¢ → 0¢ | $4,956 | −$4,956 −100% | 3 |
| 154d | Foxhound99 | ↓ 76,000 | SellNo86¢ → 0¢ | $1,042 | +$1,042 +100% | — |
| 154d |  HealPOwer | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,545 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 154d | Foxhound99 | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 0¢ | $1,078 | −$1,078 −100% | 3 |
TREEtriple2,550 shares
bjprolo70 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on May 22?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 83,000 means the market gives it about 0%.