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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −29 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 170d | Dense-Muscat | ↓ 80,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,227 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 170d |  Velvet-Soul | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,061 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | anon.1980.123 | ↓ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $8,397 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 84,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $7,944 | −$8 −0.1% | — |
| 170d | rdfgsdgrfhtrfhreh | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | mfghregefefe | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | qwewreegereth | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | tfgerghrthrhtth | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ikytjhrfggesf | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | werfweferdhtfh | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,082 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | hfdgdfhgrtfdhrth | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | Immense-Terminology | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | gfjtfhrdgse | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | serfaesrwaghfgy. | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,080 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | jhtrfjhrtfhs | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | etsgfweastrthjyt | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,079 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ghfjgyjkffjhrez | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | hdfhdfrgdsfg | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | rgdrhgtfgjhtygj | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,300 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | dsfjkllkkjff | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,083 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | fghjklfdsadfgh | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,085 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | fhjksdfghtyuiouu | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,082 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | fdgjkjhdefg | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ertyuiyffdghjk | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,072 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | rtyuiueertyui | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,108 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | 35467uhdfgh | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | rtyuiuuertyu | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,073 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | AFSACZXCAD | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,082 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | FASDZXCAFASDZ | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,081 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | WFASDCZXZXZC | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | Damp-Poignance | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,846 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | QATGASDCZG | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | dfghjkjefghj | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,076 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | Mizukaze | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,148 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | Mizukaze | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,021 | +$7 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ASGFASDZCADF | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,077 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | JIMHJGHAFSB | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,078 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | Mizukaze | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,467 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | GTQAADFCZXSA | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | ertuyuyewrtyu | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | WTGASFVSACZX | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | trgewrtfghfghrdr | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,079 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | rethttejhtjre | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | FGASFDCZX | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,080 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | tyuioiuyteewrtyu | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,071 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | GASDCZXADCZX | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,079 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | tjfhrdeyrtdgyrht | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,085 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | awredfghegy | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | serryhtryhrwfe | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | tserfwsrwr | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,090 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | grehgytjythertfg | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,084 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | esrdesfgtdrg | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,094 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d |  Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,208 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 170d | dfghjwertyu | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | rfeygrtfjhrtuj | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,707 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | dfhjkllghj | ↓ 75,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 170d | htfjhyjfghbdrfg | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,091 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | tyuiutertyu | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,081 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | esrtfewsygrtdyhr | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,116 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 170d | serwsetgerhrtrthrth | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,095 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 6?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 84,000 means the market gives it about 0%.