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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 0% | −50 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −46 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −53 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −11 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −38 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 72,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 168d | Dense-Muscat | ↑ 81,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $3,529 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 168d |  upont | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,400 | +$48 +0.8% | 2 |
| 168d | Mizukaze | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,323 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | Mizukaze | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,348 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | Funboyboy2 fills | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $14,487 | +$44 +0.3% | 2 |
| 168d | dfghjkjhgf | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | fdsfefergtghgfh | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,825 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | ghnhfgfgefewqre | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,831 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dsfghjklkjhgfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dsfghjklhgfds | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,075 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | htgdefeefwe | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,834 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | sdtfyjhgfdsadfg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,069 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | rfgerfwewedfewg | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,830 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | ghjklkjhgfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,062 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dfgghrehgre | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,832 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | fgkjljkjhgfdg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,064 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | hjklkjfddsfg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dsfrawrrfdhrfh | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,796 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | ffghjkljjds | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | rhggsfesgtrg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dfghjwdfghj | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | eregrhgrtgdefreg | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,833 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dfghjklkjfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dsfdsgrfdgrht | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,835 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | sdfgetfrdhghtrghr | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,832 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dfgtyhjkkhgfd | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,059 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | gdfhdfhtgfhfdg | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,832 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | sdfghjkjhgfd | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,074 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | drgrdghr | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,821 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | jhkfgyjfjhdfj | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,841 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | dfghjhgfdsrty | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,089 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | Disloyal-Appearance | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,831 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | ergthhnesrfe | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,828 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | fgbfdgvdfefrtg | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,816 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | anon.1980.123 | ↑ 81,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,648 | +$51 +3.1% | 2 |
| 168d | adesrfegfrgtr | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,815 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | thrffgesgrd | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,825 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | sdsafsgdrgs | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,816 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | drgrehthg | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,815 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | hrsdgsdgtdrh | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,817 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | upont | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $4,599 | +$142 +3.1% | 2 |
| 168d | egrfhbrfesg | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,816 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | yjyurdetwe | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,819 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | erfestgrdh | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,812 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | jythrtdgrhrt | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,829 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 168d | Victorious-Goat | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,815 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GTASDCZCX | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | rdtgefrdrtfjy | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,813 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GASFCZXCA | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | kjyhgfdgsdygtfj | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,812 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | TGAWFASDCVA | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,062 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | yfjuyhkiuyhjdfgrtf | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,826 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GASDFCZXCAZ | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,063 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | rhtrgdsfgdrjhtf | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,820 | +$4 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GACZFASGFASSDC | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GASCZXASAA | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | AGFASDCZXCA | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GASFDZXCASF | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,057 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | GASDFZCASD | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
| 168d | FGASDZCARFF | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,064 | +$2 +0.2% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on May 8?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 80,000 means the market gives it about 100%.