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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −21 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −13 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22d |  Facaie | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,796 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Doomster | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,024 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d |  Tttyh | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,175 | +$4 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Tttyh | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,304 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d |  walnascar | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,498 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Navigator77 | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,852 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 22d | Navigator77 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,000 | +$7 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d |  justdance | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,735 | +$65 +3.7% | 2 |
| 22d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | +$61 +5.2% | 2 |
| 22d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 83,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,860 | +$140 +7.5% | 2 |
| 22d | Sharky69994 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $7,600 | +$400 +5.3% | 2 |
| 22d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,990 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 22d | 0xvanilla | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,245 | +$66 +5.3% | 2 |
| 22d | justdance4 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $20,617 | +$2,553 +12% | 3 |
| 22d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $6,051 | +$319 +5.3% | 2 |
| 23d | shaillakhani | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes22¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
KOMZY1,009 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 1?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 82,000 means the market gives it about 0%.