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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −34 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12d | Elastic-Mime | ↓ 82,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,223 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 12d |  upont | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,046 | +$5 +0.5% | 2 |
| 12d | upont | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,049 | +$11 +1.0% | 2 |
| 12d |  walnascar | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,501 | +$15 +0.6% | 2 |
| 12d |  justdance | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo90¢ → 100¢ | $2,697 | +$303 +11% | 3 |
| 12d | justdance | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,850 | +$150 +5.3% | 2 |
| 12d | Sharky6999 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$100 +5.3% | 2 |
| 12d | 0x26b1…cc81 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $44,131 | +$44 +0.1% | 2 |
| 12d | bZk0Uo | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,050 | +$108 +5.3% | 2 |
| 12d | johnsalchichon | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes96¢ → 100¢ | $3,392 | +$145 +4.3% | 2 |
| 12d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyYes36¢ → 100¢ | $1,080 | +$1,920 +178% | 4 |
justdance7,281 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 11?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for ↑ 84,000 means the market gives it about 100%.