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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −27 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −5 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 81,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,110 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  AkarshitGangwar | ↓ 81,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $2,076 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 11d |  niefeng | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,122 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 11d | SkyLove7 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,765 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | AkarshitGangwar | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,060 | +$8 +0.4% | 2 |
| 11d | Doomster | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,287 | +$3 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d |  Facaie2 fills | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,992 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d |  Tttyh3 fills | ↑ 85,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,442 | −$26 −0.5% | — |
| 11d | lee886 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,000 | +$18 +0.6% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,700 | −$1,700 −100% | 3 |
| 11d | Tttyh | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,965 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | lingke | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,800 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | magcidwa | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,200 | +$1 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | jjjclv65 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $24,300 | +$24 +0.1% | 2 |
| 11d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 5 |
| 11d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 82,000 | SellYes64¢ → 100¢ | $2,160 | −$1,214 −56% | — |
| 11d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes85¢ → 100¢ | $3,833 | +$695 +18% | 3 |
| 11d | Hateful-Sickness | ↓ 82,000 | SellYes34¢ → 100¢ | $1,094 | −$2,120 −194% | — |
| 11d | trx1 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,188 | +$37 +3.1% | 2 |
| 11d | Tokor | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $9,583 | +$196 +2.0% | 2 |
| 11d | Luna20022 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,323 | +$21 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,249 | +$14 +0.3% | 2 |
| 11d | Navigator77 | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 11d |  Rusik7 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $1,024 | +$126 +12% | 3 |
| 11d |  justdance | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo82¢ → 0¢ | $4,140 | −$4,140 −100% | 3 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 12?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 81,000 means the market gives it about 0%.