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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −26 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 81,000 | 0% | −10 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 83,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 82,000 | 0% | −33 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −3 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −8 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 91,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↑ 90,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 89,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10d |  Tttyh3 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $71,177 | +$71 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | SkyLove72 fills | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,993 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  gangwarharshit | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $8,048 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d |  AkarshitGangwar | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,144 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Cavernous-Agriculture | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,151 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Noteagle | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,992 | +$8 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Doomster | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,091 | +$3 +0.3% | 2 |
| 10d |  upont | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,891 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d |  Facaie | ↑ 86,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,998 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | Navigator77 | ↓ 80,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,388 | +$9 +0.3% | 2 |
| 10d | Navigator77 | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,000 | +$8 +0.2% | 2 |
| 10d | Solid-Chem | ↓ 83,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $9,912 | −$10 −0.1% | — |
| 10d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 82,000 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,723 | +$467 +9.9% | 3 |
| 10d | Hateful-Sickness | ↓ 83,000 | SellYes69¢ → 100¢ | $1,252 | −$562 −45% | — |
| 10d | Solid-Chem | ↓ 83,000 | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,320 | +$1,699 +39% | 4 |
| 10d | Candela | ↑ 91,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,266 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 10d | shaillakhani | ↓ 82,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,450 | −$1,450 −100% | 6 |
| 10d | trx1 | ↓ 81,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $1,469 | +$111 +7.5% | 2 |
What price will Bitcoin hit on October 13?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↑ 85,000 means the market gives it about 0%.