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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ↓ 79,000 | 0% | −20 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 83,000 | 0% | −36 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 84,000 | 0% | −15 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 78,000 | 0% | −9 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 82,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 77,000 | 0% | −4 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 85,000 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 80,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| ↓ 76,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 87,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 88,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 86,000 | 0% | −2 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 75,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 73,000 | 0% | 0 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↓ 74,000 | 0% | −1 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| ↑ 81,000 | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8d |  gangwarharshit | ↓ 79,000 | SellNo>99¢ | $4,995 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 8d |  Facaie | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,997 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d |  Tttyh | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,785 | +$20 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | Noteagle | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,942 | +$44 +0.7% | 2 |
| 8d | Tttyh | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,789 | +$7 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d |  67676767676767676767676767 | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,069 | +$3 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | Facaie | ↑ 84,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,994 | +$6 +0.3% | 2 |
| 8d | Facaie4 fills | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $7,988 | +$12 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d |  walnascar | ↑ 87,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,495 | +$5 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | Vipine | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$11 +1.1% | 2 |
| 8d | Navigator77 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,590 | +$12 +0.3% | 2 |
| 8d | Navigator77 | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,000 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | trx1 | ↑ 85,000 | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,952 | +$32 +1.6% | 2 |
| 8d | Tokor | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes27¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 5 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 83,000 | BuyYes48¢ → 0¢ | $1,539 | −$1,539 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Facaie2 fills | ↑ 88,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $9,990 | +$10 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | Facaie3 fills | ↓ 77,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $12,943 | +$26 +0.2% | 2 |
| 8d | Facaie | ↓ 76,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $4,995 | +$5 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b04522 fills | ↑ 82,000 | BuyYes87¢ → 100¢ | $4,705 | +$698 +15% | 3 |
| 8d | Tokor | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo89¢ → 100¢ | $7,994 | +$988 +12% | 3 |
| 8d | Facaie | ↓ 74,000 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,019 | +$2 +0.1% | 2 |
| 8d |  CoinTrick | ↑ 82,000 | SellNo42¢ → 0¢ | $2,101 | +$2,101 +100% | — |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo49¢ → 0¢ | $1,960 | −$1,960 −100% | 4 |
| 8d | Tokor | ↓ 78,000 | BuyNo93¢ → 100¢ | $5,399 | +$406 +7.5% | 2 |
| 8d | 0x06dc51826bc524d9a83770e7de9dd7e005b0452 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 100¢ | $1,378 | +$393 +29% | 3 |
| 8d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | SellYes>99¢ | $4,172 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 8d | CoinTrick | ↑ 82,000 | BuyNo78¢ → 0¢ | $3,895 | −$3,895 −100% | 3 |
| 8d |  justdance | ↓ 79,000 | BuyNo70¢ → 100¢ | $3,525 | +$1,512 +43% | 4 |
| 8d | shaillakhani | ↓ 80,000 | BuyYes45¢ → 100¢ | $1,900 | +$2,276 +120% | 5 |
| 8d | 0x2f88…dfd3 | ↓ 79,000 | BuyYes21¢ → 0¢ | $1,000 | −$1,000 −100% | 4 |
| 9d | Tokor | ↑ 83,000 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $4,105 | +$1,094 +27% | 3 |
| 9d | shaillakhani | ↓ 79,000 | BuyYes33¢ → 0¢ | $2,850 | −$2,850 −100% | 7 |
| 9d | shaillakhani | ↓ 78,000 | BuyYes18¢ → 0¢ | $2,000 | −$2,000 −100% | 8 |
cyfra772 sharesWhat price will Bitcoin hit on October 15?
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for ↓ 79,000 means the market gives it about 0%.